Post-Fight Analysis of
Conor McGregor vs.
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
August 25, 2017
August 27, 2017
Most of GTR's predictions
(here) for the
Floyd vs. Conor Fight of the Century turned out to be wrong.
Conor boxed better than expected for the first few
rounds, but being in shape for 12 rounds is part of the job. He fell apart
after round 7. But at least he tried to make it a real boxing match,
respecting the Noble Art. Floyd was Floyd, more so than usual.
It was revealing that Conor, as he admitted, was not
expecting and was stumped by Floyd's tactic of walking straight in with
his hands up, covering his face. Conor apparently thought Floyd was going
to either trade punches, or run. It isn't clear why he would think the
former, since Floyd has never done that before, but maybe Conor was counting
on Floyd being overconfident. That has happened in boxing plenty of times
It didn't happen on
August 25. Floyd was confident, right enough, he was, but not overly so. He
was as confident as a rational assessment of the relative strengths of the
two combatants justified.
Conor has good hands for an Ultimate
Fighter, and as we saw, can hang in with a top pro for a few rounds. Or at
least a top pro with Floyd's patient, passive, defensive, style. But Conor's inexperience and possibly remiss coaching didn't prepare him to
anticipate what should have been pretty obvious. Getting close to a taller
(or a "reachier" opponent) nullifies his advantage. There are at
least two ways to get in. One is to crouch, and bob and wave laterally,
while forward stepping, the style made famous by Jack Dempsey, Rocky Marciano, Mike Tyson
and lots of Mexicans. Put your forehead on the taller man's chest and
don't remove it, was Rocky Marciano's (49-0) advice. It works extremely
well, if you can do it.
The other is to walk straight in, hands covering the face. Which is what Floyd
did. Since Conor didn't prepare for that, the conclusion was just a matter
of time. Only Floyd's "excessive" cautiousness (some critics
say), allowed Conor to stay in the ring as long as he did.
Floyd did a certain
amount of crouching as well. It proved to be effective. Conor swung and
missed, wasting energy. Conor also wasted energy "taking Floyd's
back". Floyd, for his part, freely "gave up his back".
You shouldn't do that in MMA, but this was boxing. Duh, you shouldn't do it
in boxing either (and the referee even warned Floyd about it several times).
You can't hit the opponent in the back, and you can't turn your back to
avoid being hit in the front. On the other hand, Conor instinctively shucked
Floyd off (made easy because Floyd inexpertly framed on Conor's face in
clinches), which put him almost unavoidably on, or near enough, Floyd's
back. If that sounds too "technical", watch the video.
Conor says he'd like to fight again. Being Irish, that
goes without saying. (Did you know that Muhammad Ali was Irish? It's true:
See Thomas Hauser's authorized biography Muhammad Ali, for
Here's a suggestion for the promoter. Match Conor with
Gennady Golovkin. That might be an unpleasant experience for
Conor however. The only people tougher than Irish are Kazakhstanis.
Kazakhstani. Conor would get KOed but it would be entertaining for a round
or two. Make it happen, Dana!
(c) 2017, Roberto Pedreira. All rights reserved.